
Tehran may have greater influence than Washington does, but it is not able to script Baghdad’s political process. Iran, after all, wouuld have had the Shi’ite parties run as a single coalition, which would have finished way ahead of Allawi’s. Nor is that influence anything new: Iran’s key ally at the time, the Supreme Council for the Islamic Revolution in Iraq, as well as al-Maliki’s Dawa Party, were included in the interim government assembled by the U.S. in 2003, and all three democratic elections have seen the Shi’ite Islamist parties emerge dominant. Even al-Sadr’s kingmaker role is nothing new: al-Maliki became Prime Minister in May 2006 only with the backing of al-Sadr’s parliamentary bloc.