The Arab Spring is Israel’s Worst Nightmare

I’ve long said that Israel fears democracy in the Middle East and has long worked to subvert it–from helping the CIA create Iran’s internal intelligence service, the SAVAK, after the coup that brought down Mossadegh’s government, to supporting Egypt’s Mubarak until he was toppled and then being furious with Obama for not supporting him longer. Israel’s chief of military intelligence, by implication, has spelled out why it is against democracy in the Middle East: Haaretz: “On Thursday, [chief of military intelligence] Kochavi, speaking at the opening session of the Herzliya Conference’s closing day, spoke of the growing threats Israel was facing: ‘a more hostile, more Islamic, more sensitive Middle East, one more attune to public sentiment, less controlled by the regimes, and less susceptible to international influence.'”

You see that fear in Turkish democracy. A majority of its citizens support a democratic government that won’t be bullied by Israel’s belligerence. Predictably, some hawkish Israelis refer to Erdogan’s government as “terrorist.”  Turkey is only a taste of what’s to come in the new Middle East and it has Israel worried because more and more governments in the region will be “more attune to public sentiment,” which opposes Israel’s ethnic cleansing and ceaseless colonization of the West Bank and stranglehold on the Gaza Strip.

This is not related to my original point but still warrants attention: “The chief of military intelligence then indicated that about 200,000 missiles were aimed at Israel at any given time, adding, however, that ‘Israel’s military deterrence is intact.'”

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AbuKhalil: Claims that Iran & Hizbullah are assisting in the crackdown in Syria are “lies”

Angry Arab: When will there be an article in the Columbia Journalism Review about the lousy Western media coverage of Syria?  What about the claim that the Syrian “rebels” arrested 3 (just three) members of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards who were allegedly participating in the repression in Syria–as if the repressive regime needs advice and help in repression?  Of course, it turned out that the three were none other than those Iranian engineers who were kidnapped in Syria weeks earlier.  Will the lousy Western media ever expose or reveal one lie by the Syrian opposition?  One lie, not two?  And what about their claims that Hizbullah fighters are also participating in the killing?  I mean, if they tomorrow claim that Cuban soldiers were shooting in Syria, I am sure that the Western media would publish the claim and bring a terrorism expert to confirm.  I must confess, I have never seen a worse coverage of Arab affairs like I have seen in the coverage of Syria in the last few months.  It is more blatantly propagandistic than the coverage that led to the American invasion of Iraq.   I mean, at one point, a Lebanese Army truck was passing in a street in Damascus, and Syrian National Council websites and Saudi media published the picture and claimed that Lebanese Army soldiers are also participating in repression in Syria.  The Lebanese Army had to issue a statement to explain what that lone truck was doing in Damascus.

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Saudi Arabia is the key to the US/EU oil embargo on Iran

The United States and the European Union have imposed sanctions on Iran’s central bank making it increasingly difficult for others to purchase Iranian oil. The European states are phasing out their remaining outstanding contracts with Iran. Saudi Arabia, the avowed “brother” country to Iran, is the key to this strategy. As the swing oil producer, meaning its the country that can increase its oil production by a one or two million barrels of oil a day if need be, has pledged to increase capacity to offset the loss of Iranian oil on the international market thereby preventing an oil shock.  See the video here. I think it’s telling that the analyst said that the Saudi rulers have not commented on it publicly but will  likely increase capacity in a discreet manner. The reason why the Saudis are quiet about collaborating with these sanctions is because the move is quite possibly unpopular with the Saudi population. In a dictatorship like the Saudi regime that is propped up and sustained by Western power, going along with unpopular foreign strategies is indeed a private matter. The funny thing is, this wholly undemocratic regime is now the vanguard regional state pushing for Bashar al-Assad to step down. As much as I think al-Assad lost all legitimacy to rule long ago, if he ever even had it to begin with, I find it comical that one of the most retrograde regimes in the Middle East is leading the charge to unseat al-Assad. If there is to be genuine revolution in the Middle East, the contagion must spread to all the Persian Gulf countries.

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Video: Turkey extends grip on armed forces

Let this serve as a forgone conclusion to Egypt’s military rulers. See the video here.

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Iran Wins Golden Globe for Best Foreign Film

Last night Iran’s submission (“A Separation”) won the Golden Globe for best foreign film. See the trailer to the film here. The acceptance speech was short but sweet. See it here.  I was most pleased that the speech was non-polemical and straight to the point.  I couldn’t agree more with the message, of course. Though I must admit that Iranians are no more “peace-loving” than anyone else but it is important that people be reminded of this basic fact as there is a concerted effort to demonize Iran and Iranians by those who wish to bring the disaster of another war into reality.  The fact that the director, Asghar Farhadi, justifiably felt obliged to utter such remarks is both telling and sad… telling because of the sad situation where war and demonization is still ongoing, and sad because Iranians all over are stigmatized and feel a need to defend themselves as a people.

Anyway, congrats to the team who made the film and everyone else who was full of bliss in this little but important victory.

Posted in Film, Iran | 1 Comment

False Flag: How Israel is Baiting a War between Iran and the US

This is an expose first published on ForeignPolicy.com and has been picked up and transmitted all over the world. It more or less exposes how Israeli agents have been posing as American CIA agents and recruiting terrorists to wage a bombing and assassination campaign inside Iran.  The objective behind posing as Americans instead of Israelis is so that Iran can trace the attacks back to the US instead of Israel and Iran would then consequently respond by targeting America and thereby creating a cycle of violence that gets the US to do Israel’s bidding in fighting Iran.  Apparently, America’s top brass has always known about it but now, more importantly, Iran does too so it can resist such pull to war.

Posted in Iran, Palestine, US Foreign Policy | 1 Comment

Video: Tunisians Marked One-Year Anniversary of the Revolution

Tunisia, where it all started… see the video here.

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Syrian Free Army by the numbers

This is an important update by Reuters about the burgeoning guerrilla war in Syria, the numbers of its fighters, and what it’s facing in terms of the military power of the Syrian Armed Forces still loyal to the regime:

“If we get 25,000 to 30,000 deserters mounting guerrilla warfare in small groups of six or seven it is enough to exhaust the army in a year to a year-and-a-half, even if they are armed only with rocket-propelled grenades and light weapons,” he said in the telephone interview from south Turkey on Thursday.”

… Sheikh [the “most senior commander” to defect] “estimated the size of the Syrian army, on which Assad has relied to try and put down the revolt, at 280,000 soldiers, including conscripts.”

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Fidel and Mahmoud

There’s much to post and blog about so here’s where we begin: Ahmadinejad visits four Latin American countries and here’s a video of him in Cuba with Fidel.

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The Latest Episode in the Covert War in Iran

Make no mistake about it, there’s a covert war being waged inside Iran right now. This latest killing comes on the heels of a number of previous assassinations of nuclear scientists inside Iran. Al Jazeera English lists the most recent killings:

“A similar bomb explosion on January 12, 2010, killed Masoud Ali Mohammadi, a senior physics professor at Tehran University, when a bomb-rigged motorcycle exploded near his car as he was about to leave for work… In November 2010, a pair of back-to-back bomb attacks in different parts of the capital killed one nuclear scientist and wounded another. In July 2011, motorcycle-riding gunmen killed Darioush Rezaeinejad, an electronics student. Other reports identified him as a scientist involved in suspected Iranian attempts to make nuclear weapons. Rezaeinejad allegedly participated in developing high-voltage switches, a key component in setting off the explosions needed to trigger a nuclear warhead.”

This list does not include the sophisticated cyber attacks on Iran’s computer network that operates its nuclear facilities and the random explosions that have been occurring in Iran’s arms depots and elsewhere.

With daily threats coming out of DC and Tel Aviv that “all options are on the table” in relation to Iran’s nuclear program and that in the final option, a military solution is a plausible one, one finds it difficult to believe Obama or Netanyahu that their administrations have nothing to do with such attacks; this all in the context of a concerted US-led effort to strangle Iran’s economy through sanctions that may soon target Iran’s oil industry – the first time ever such an approach will be adopted.

Here’s the al Jazeera video report on the latest killing.

It should also not be ruled out that the People’s Mujahideen possibly played a roll in the attack. The Mujahideen has a well entrenched network of agents in Iran and has proved itself time and again an indispensable asset to the US and Israeli foreign policy establishments’ anti-Iran policy.  Although the Mujahideen is listed as a terror organization by the US State Department, it would not come as a surprise that the US is working hand-in-hand with the Mujahideen to destabilize Iran. In America’s so-called “War on Terror,” groups that partake in terrorism but are not opposed to the US can serve as potential allies.  In other words, the “War on Terror” is really a selective military undertaking targeting, not all global terrorism (i.e. the Mujahideen are exempt), but America’s enemies, with or without their adoption of terrorism as a tactic (think Iraq).

I feel sorry for the people inside Iran who have to live in a country where its economic health is constantly being crippled (sanctions always hurt the regular people more than the government elite), their leadership screens candidates and then still feels obligated to tamper with election results, they’re continuously asking themselves if yet another disastrous war will be visited upon them (Iran in my opinion is still deeply scarred by the devastating eight-year war with Saddam),  and if in the meanwhile they’ll be in the vicinity of the next assassination that might claim their lives as well.

Woe unto those who drag the US or Iran into yet another war.

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My Guantánamo Nightmare

Again, I feel obligated to post in full an article that warrants nothing less that such attention. Obama, the former Constitutional Law professor who pledged to close down this abomination to freedom, should show some backbone and take a stand, now.

New York Times: ON Wednesday, America’s detention camp at Guantánamo Bay will have been open for 10 years. For seven of them, I was held there without explanation or charge. During that time my daughters grew up without me. They were toddlers when I was imprisoned, and were never allowed to visit or speak to me by phone. Most of their letters were returned as “undeliverable,” and the few that I received were so thoroughly and thoughtlessly censored that their messages of love and support were lost.

Some American politicians say that people at Guantánamo are terrorists, but I have never been a terrorist. Had I been brought before a court when I was seized, my children’s lives would not have been torn apart, and my family would not have been thrown into poverty. It was only after the United States Supreme Court ordered the government to defend its actions before a federal judge that I was finally able to clear my name and be with them again.

I left Algeria in 1990 to work abroad. In 1997 my family and I moved to Bosnia and Herzegovina at the request of my employer, the Red Crescent Society of the United Arab Emirates. I served in the Sarajevo office as director of humanitarian aid for children who had lost relatives to violence during the Balkan conflicts. In 1998, I became a Bosnian citizen. We had a good life, but all of that changed after 9/11.

When I arrived at work on the morning of Oct. 19, 2001, an intelligence officer was waiting for me. He asked me to accompany him to answer questions. I did so, voluntarily — but afterward I was told that I could not go home. The United States had demanded that local authorities arrest me and five other men. News reports at the time said the United States believed that I was plotting to blow up its embassy in Sarajevo. I had never — for a second — considered this.

The fact that the United States had made a mistake was clear from the beginning. Bosnia’s highest court investigated the American claim, found that there was no evidence against me and ordered my release. But instead, the moment I was released American agents seized me and the five others. We were tied up like animals and flown to Guantánamo, the American naval base in Cuba. I arrived on Jan. 20, 2002.

I still had faith in American justice. I believed my captors would quickly realize their mistake and let me go. But when I would not give the interrogators the answers they wanted — how could I, when I had done nothing wrong? — they became more and more brutal. I was kept awake for many days straight. I was forced to remain in painful positions for hours at a time. These are things I do not want to write about; I want only to forget.

I went on a hunger strike for two years because no one would tell me why I was being imprisoned. Twice each day my captors would shove a tube up my nose, down my throat and into my stomach so they could pour food into me. It was excruciating, but I was innocent and so I kept up my protest.

In 2008, my demand for a fair legal process went all the way to America’s highest court. In a decision that bears my name, the Supreme Court declared that “the laws and Constitution are designed to survive, and remain in force, in extraordinary times.” It ruled that prisoners like me, no matter how serious the accusations, have a right to a day in court. The Supreme Court recognized a basic truth: the government makes mistakes. And the court said that because “the consequence of error may be detention of persons for the duration of hostilities that may last a generation or more, this is a risk too significant to ignore.”

Five months later, Judge Richard J. Leon, of the Federal District Court in Washington, reviewed all of the reasons offered to justify my imprisonment, including secret information I never saw or heard. The government abandoned its claim of an embassy bomb plot just before the judge could hear it. After the hearing, he ordered the government to free me and four other men who had been arrested in Bosnia.

I will never forget sitting with the four other men in a squalid room at Guantánamo, listening over a fuzzy speaker as Judge Leon read his decision in a Washington courtroom. He implored the government not to appeal his ruling, because “seven years of waiting for our legal system to give them an answer to a question so important is, in my judgment, more than plenty.” I was freed, at last, on May 15, 2009.

Today, I live in Provence with my wife and children. France has given us a home, and a new start. I have experienced the pleasure of reacquainting myself with my daughters and, in August 2010, the joy of welcoming a new son, Yousef. I am learning to drive, attending vocational training and rebuilding my life. I hope to work again serving others, but so far the fact that I spent seven and a half years as a Guantánamo prisoner has meant that only a few human rights organizations have seriously considered hiring me. I do not like to think of Guantánamo. The memories are filled with pain. But I share my story because 171 men remain there. Among them is Belkacem Bensayah, who was seized in Bosnia and sent to Guantánamo with me.

About 90 prisoners have been cleared for transfer out of Guantánamo. Some of them are from countries like Syria or China — where they would face torture if sent home — or Yemen, which the United States considers unstable. And so they sit as captives, with no end in sight — not because they are dangerous, not because they attacked America, but because the stigma of Guantánamo means they have no place to go, and America will not give a home to even one of them.

I’m told that my Supreme Court case is now read in law schools. Perhaps one day that will give me satisfaction, but so long as Guantánamo stays open and innocent men remain there, my thoughts will be with those left behind in that place of suffering and injustice.

Lakhdar Boumediene was the lead plaintiff in Boumediene v. Bush. He was in military custody at Guantánamo Bay from 2002 to 2009. This essay was translated by Felice Bezri from the Arabic.

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End of the pro-democracy pretense

This is a very important article. I’m posting it in full below. I’ll highlight the most important parts in bold in case you don’t have the patience to read the entire piece:

Media coverage of the Arab Spring somehow depicted the U.S. as sympathetic to and supportive of the democratic protesters notwithstanding the nation’s decades-long financial and military support for most of the targeted despots. That’s because a central staple of American domestic propaganda about its foreign policy is that the nation is “pro-democracy” — that’s the banner under which Americans wars are typically prettified — even though “democracy” in this regard really means “a government which serves American interests regardless of how their power is acquired,” while “despot” means “a government which defies American orders even if they’re democratically elected.”

It’s always preferable when pretenses of this sort are dropped — the ugly truth is better than pretty lies — and the events in the Arab world have forced the explicit relinquishment of this pro-democracy conceit. That’s because one of the prime aims of America’s support for Arab dictators has been to ensure that the actual views and beliefs of those nations’ populations remain suppressed, because those views are often so antithetical to the perceived national interests of the U.S. government. The last thing the U.S. government has wanted (or wants now) is actual democracy in the Arab world, in large part because democracy will enable the populations’ beliefs — driven by high levels of anti-American sentiment and opposition to Israeli actions – to be empowered rather than ignored.

So acute is this contradiction — between professed support for Arab democracy and the fear of what it will produce — that America’s Foreign Policy Community is now dropping the pro-freedom charade and talking openly (albeit euphemistically) about the need to oppose Arab democracy. Here is Jon Alterman, the director of the Middle East program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies and a very typical member of the National Security priesthood, writing on Friday in The New York Times about Egyptian elections (via As’ad AbuKhali):

Many in Israel and America, and even some in Egypt, fear that the elections will produce an Islamist-led government that will tear up the Egyptian-Israeli peace treaty, turn hostile to the United States, openly support Hamas and transform Egypt into a theocracy that oppresses women, Christians and secular Muslims. They see little prospect for more liberal voices to prevail, and view military dictatorship as a preferable outcome.

American interests, however, call for a different outcome, one that finds a balance — however uneasy — between the military authorities and Egypt’s new politicians. We do not want any one side to vanquish or silence the other. And with lopsided early election results, it is especially important that the outcome not drive away Egypt’s educated liberal elite, whose economic connections and know-how will be vital for attracting investment and creating jobs.

Our instinct is to search for the clarity we saw in last winter’s televised celebrations. However, what Egyptians, and Americans, need is something murkier — not a victory, but an accommodation.

I love this passage both for its candor and for what it lamely attempts to obfuscate. Why should “American interests” determine the type of government Egypt has? That it should is simply embedded as an implicit, unstated assumption in Alterman’s advocacy. That’s because the right of the U.S. to dictate how other nations are governed is one of the central, unchallenged precepts of the American Foreign Policy Community’s dogma and it thus needs no defense or even explicit acknowledgment. It simply is. It’s an inherent imperial right.

But Alterman here is expressly admitting the reality that most media accounts ignore: that the U.S. does not, in fact, want democracy in Egypt. It fears it. That’s because public opinion polls show overwhelming opposition among the Egyptian populace to the policies which the U.S. (for better or worse) wants to foist on that country: animus toward Iran, preservation of the peace agreement with Israel, ongoing indifference to the plight of the Palestinians, and subservience to U.S. goals. Indeed, according to the 2011 Pew finding, “nearly eight-in-ten Egyptians have an unfavorable opinion of the U.S.” That tracks opinion in the Arab world generally, where the two nations perceived as the biggest threat are — by far — the U.S. and Israel (not Iran), and the three most admired foreign leaders are Turkish Prime Minister Recep Erdogan, followed by Hugo Chavez and Mahmoud Ahmadinejad.

But even more significant is Egyptian public opinion specifically on the issue of greatest concern for American (and Israeli) foreign policy officials: a nuclear Iran. A 2010 Brookings/University of Maryland/Zogby poll found vast, overwhelming Egyptian support for the view that Iran has the right to have a nuclear weapon, and for the view that a nuclear Iran would be a net positive for the region. That, too, tracks general public opinion in the Arab world, which supports Iran’s right to have nuclear weapons. In light of these facts, does anyone believe that the U.S. government and its pool of experts that exist to justify what it does — the Foreign Policy Community — have even a slight interest in actual democracy in Egypt specifically or the Arab world generally?

Of course not. As Noam Chomsky put it recently: “The U.S. and its Western allies are sure to do whatever they can to prevent authentic democracy in the Arab world” because “if public opinion were to influence policy, the U.S. not only would not control the region, but would be expelled from it.” That’s why Alterman is urging what he delicately calls “a balance — however uneasy — between the military authorities and Egypt’s new politicians” – meaning: ensuring the ability of the Egyptian military to prevent the country’s democratically elected leaders (“Egypt’s new politicians”) from implementing the will of the citizenry. The fear of (and desire to stop) Arab democracy has been openly expressed for some time by many American neocons and even Benjamin Netanyahu; that it is now spilling over into America’s mainstream Foreign Policy experts is telling indeed.

In calling for a force to constrain democratic rule, Alterman doesn’t mean here the kind of Constitutional protections that exist in the U.S. to safeguard (in theory) minorities from the tyranny of majority rule, at least not primarily. Those are legitimate issues balancing democracy and minority rights — for the Egyptians to resolve. What Alterman advocates is a bulwark against the ability of the Egyptian people to free themselves of military rule, choose their own government, and decide their own fate. He wants democracy to exist in Egypt to extend only to the point where Egyptians “choose” to do what the U.S. wants them to do and to end at the point where they want to do something different (in that regard, his vision for “freedom” in Egypt is not unlike what many “freedoms” have come to mean in the U.S.: you can exercise them provided they do not contradict the interests of the U.S. Government). Thus, Alterman announces, in Egypt we must avoid the “clarity” of democracy in favor of something “murkier.”

Even if you’re indifferent to the moral questions involved in actively trying to impede democracy in Egypt — suppose you’re a hard-core adherent of Henry Kissinger and realpolitik and want to the U.S. to act only to advance its interests without regard to moral and ethical questions – the foolishness of this approach is manifest. It’s what the U.S. has been doing, so disastrously, in that part of the world for decades: feigning support for democracy while working against it.

The Obama administration paid pretty lip service to the Egyptian revolution but then worked to install Mubarak’s chief torturer Omar Suleiman in power, who, for obvious reasons, is viewed with great disfavor among Egyptians. That propaganda ruse fooled one of its chief targets (the American electorate) but failed miserably among Egyptians, who knew exactly what the U.S. was up to. As a result, Egyptians now view the U.S. even more unfavorably than they did during the Bush years, while “more Egyptians — 64 percent — said they had low or no confidence in President Obama in 2011 than they did last year, up five percentage points.”

Nothing will ensure ongoing anti-American sentiment in Egypt (and the Muslim world generally) than following the approach prescribed by Alterman of working actively to impede democracy. Egyptians yearn for democracy and will scorn those who impede it. That they continue so bravely to protest in the streets even with Mubarak gone is dispositive proof of that fact, but for those who want empirical data: in the 2011 Pew poll, 71% of Egyptians say “democracy is preferable to any other kind of government,” while only 17″% say that “in some circumstances, a nondemocratic government can be preferable.” In other words, the vast majority of Egyptians do not want Alterman’s “murkier” framework where military rule “balances” democracy; they want democracy. In this extremely informative analysis of the current situation in Egypt, Issandr El Amrani notes: “The military’s claim to be guardian of the revolution has been weakening since soon after Mubarak was toppled.” While the U.S. Government can trick Americans into believing that the U.S. is on the side of Freedom and Democracy even as it works against it, it cannot fool the citizens in those nations it seeks to suppress.

Alterman claims that he wants to impede Egyptian democracy in the name of “what Egyptians, and Americans, need” — right: because Jon Alterman and his fellow denizens in America’s National Security priesthood want only what’s best for The Egyptian People, and that means preventing them from living autonomously. But one need not even bother with that pretense to see the huge deficiency in this approach. Having the U.S. impede democracy in Egypt no more fulfills what “Americans need” than it does what “Egyptians need.” It’s a self-perpetuating, self-inflicted dilemma: the more the U.S. impedes democracy in other nations, the more it is disliked in those nations, which in turn means it needs even more to impede democracy in those nations, etc. ad infinitum. This is exactly the behavior (along with blind support for the actions of the Israeli government) that has led to such vast anti-American sentiment (which in turn is what fuels Terrorism and support for it).

It’s just extraordinary how our nation’s Foreign Policy Experts never learn the lesson. Either that, or they view anti-American sentiment in that part of the world as an agenda-enabling positive. It’s hard to know which is worse.

* * * * *

Speaking of propaganda and the meaning of “democracy”: The Washington Post today has the latest installment of increasingly pure fear-mongering media accounts about Iran (this from the NYT last week — “Clock Ticking for West to Act on Iranian Nuclear Program” — was a remarkable escalation). Today’s Post article mindlessly echoes neocon fantasies about a growing Persian menace in Latin America, frighteningly close to America’s borders!  Without an ounce of skepticism or balance, it quotes a GOP Congresswoman complaining that Iran has found “willing partners in the region’s anti-American despots,” and then ominously warns:

Former U.S. intelligence officials say the presence of Quds Force officers and other military personnel in diplomatic missions enhances Iran’s ability to carry out covert activities, sometimes in conjunction with members of the Iran-backed Hezbollah militant group that operates extensive networks in Latin America and maintains ties with drug cartels. U.S. officials say the Quds Force was behind the alleged plot to hire Mexican drug gangs to assassinate a Saudi diplomat in Washington.

“For Iran to be so active in Venezuela and for the Quds Force to be there can only suggest Iran is serious about asymmetrical force projection into our neck of the woods. If Israel bombs Iran, we may well see retaliatory strikes aimed at U.S. interests coming from these Quds Force guys in South America,” said Art Keller, a former case officer with the CIA’s counterproliferation division.

Leaving aside the fact that this Quds-Force/Mexican-drug-cartel/Saudi-Ambassador assassination plot was so facially absurd as to be laughable, and further leaving aside that these neocon fantasies of Hezbollah running wild in Latin America have been clearly debunked, and further leaving aside that the Post article does little more than identify commercial transactions between Iran and these nations, consider who are the region’s “anti-American despots” whom Iran is threateningly befriending.

The Post explains that Iran has now “opened six new missions there — in Colombia, Nicaragua, Chile, Ecuador, Uruguay and Bolivia — and has expanded embassies in Cuba, Argentina, Brazil, Mexico and Venezuela”; Iran’s President, the article informs us, is now embarking on a trip to Venezuela, Ecuador, Cuba and Nicaragua. Other than Cuba, all of those nations are governed by democratically elected leaders. But many of them periodically defy American dictates and act against American interests; they are thus magically transformed into “despots.” By contrast, try to find any high-level American official using such a term to describe, say, America’s close friends ruling Saudi Arabia or the United Arab Emirates. That is what is meant by “democracy” and “freedom” and “despots” when used in establishment American foreign policy discussions.

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Afghanistan’s Future

There has been a lot of talk about bringing in the Taliban from the cold in order to “stabilize” the country.  Ferguson’s Unknown Enemy champions this position arguing that the Taliban are an integral part of Afghanistan, unlike al-Qaeda. Whereas al-Qaeda was a terror network based out of Afghanistan and largely comprised of foreign jihadists, the Taliban are a homegrown movement with a nationalist outlook, not an internationalist agenda like al-Qaeda. al-Qaeda can be targeted effectively, but, according to Ferguson, the Taliban have roots in the Pashtun ethnic community and represent a large segment of Afghan society.  This al-Jazeera video seems to highlight that that position may be gaining traction as the Taliban are being gradually and incrementally brought into the process in order to bring an end to a war that seems without end as the Taliban have proved, at least until now, resilient.

The book also argues that the Taliban did not sponsor al-Qaeda but that al-Qaeda sponsored a cash-strapped Taliban and that because of the post-9/11 wars, should the Taliban either come to share in state power in the future or seize it all together, it is very unlikely that they will house foreign jihadists again. I’m not sure if I agree with all that but it’s good food for thought.

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2012

I hope you all had a wonderful and joyous holiday season. I got back to Ann Arbor last night and am ready to get back to it. I’m teaching as a graduate student instructor for the last time this semester before I move home in the Spring to begin researching for my dissertation. I’ll also continue preparing for my preliminary exams this semester. The exam date is set for April 19th. I’ve been studying for them since the beginning of last summer and I was able to get the bulk of it all done this past semester, though I have much left to do this winter and spring. I finished my PhD coursework last year so this academic year has been much about studying for the exams and teaching, both of which have been very enriching experiences. My three fields for the examinations are: 1. The Modern Middle East (primary); 2. US in the World; 3. The Social and Political History of Collective Action. I designed all three fields to complement one another. Anyway, best of luck to you this semester and this year.

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Arrest Order for Sunni Leader in Iraq Opens New Rift

Now that the Americans are out of Iraq, Iraqi politicians are wasting no time settling old scores. This singular event could prove disastrous for Iraq’s long-term stabilization: NYT – Iraq’s Shiite-dominated government was thrown into crisis on Monday night as authorities issued an arrest warrant for the Sunni vice president, accusing him of running a personal death squad that assassinated security officials and government bureaucrats.

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